Bihar polls
verdict is a Wake up call for the Prime Minister Narendra Modi led ruling dispensation
at the centre. If they take it lightly like Delhi polls debacle, Time will be
tougher for them as next two years are
packed with state assembly polls . In 2016, polls are to be held in Kerala,Tamil
nadu, Puducherry , West Bengal and Assam and in 2017, UP,Punjab ,Goa,Uttrakhand and Manipur will go to polls.
Upbeat with massive
victory,Mahagathbandhan –the Grand Alliance of Nitish-Lalu –Congress, will not
leave any stone upturned to derail the Modi’s apple cart in other parts of the
country too. Recent events will cast it
shadow on coming Parliament session from November 26. After winning almost
three fourth majority-178 out of 243 seats in the state assembly polls,the
Grand alliance will stitch more such tie ups for mounting pressure on the NDA,
which trailed with meager 57 seats in
Bihar.
The Verdict has proved beyond an iota of doubt that alliances
of varied types and nature can not be ruled out. Congress which has eschewed
its aversion towards alliances in the current situation ,has virtually managed
to make a dramatic come back via the Patna route.
It has pocketed 27
seats-and is part of the Ruling alliance. Despite having handful of MPS in its
fold, the party had managed to make things tough for the Ruling NDA though the
latter has a resounding majority in the Lok Sabha. The BJP hopes to muster strength in the Rajay Sabha after Bihar polls have dashed and it will have
severe implications on a slew of ambitious Bills including GST.
Now speculations are rife that Opposition will join hands to
bridle the Modi’s Juggernauts everywhere RJD supremo Lalu Prasad and his wife
Rabri Devi have announced plans for nation wide tour to expose what they
describe as communal and fascists designs of the central government.
Congress which has got most sought after breather in Nov 8
verdict may cobble alliances with
regional players to checkmate BJP. The way things are developing, it may tie up
with Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) which is in reckoning this time in the 2017 UP
polls. Prospects of BSP having understanding with
BJP either pre poll or post poll look remote
as the General Elections will be due in 2017 and it will not take any risk with its minority vote banks. She in a
very clever move recently announced that she ,if voted to power, will not go
for parks and statues,but main focus would be law and order and development. In
the last polls,she had suffered at the hustings on the count of statues and
parks’s expenditure.
Parties of all hues are clear now that with the advent of social
media and growing awareness only development agenda will work among voters. The
Nitish Governance and his party’s delivery at the ground level gave him third
consecutive term. After General Elections ,The message was clear to The SP
government ,too,but it was too late in the evening that the UP government swung
into action for development projects.
Now the SP govermment
is pursuing the agenda at break neck speed ,but time is running short,only one
year is left to leave mark or perish
politically in the state,which gives verdicts in cycles to BSP and SP for last
few decades.
In Tamil Nadu,West Bengal and Kerala, chances for BJP are not
there due to presence of strong regional stalwarts like Jayalalithaa and Mamata
Bannerjee,but the BJP may go full throttle in Assam where it can capitalize three terms anti-incumbency
of
The Tarun Gogoi government. Congress may strike deal with regional players
there to thwart BJP ambitions.
In 2017,Punjab polls,The Akali dal-BJP are set to get a tough
fight as winds of change are bowing there.in remote case scenario,if AAP and
Congress join hands ,things will be totally different. In Kerala, LDF may
emerge main player vis-a vis Congress and BJP,which has faired well in civic
polls.
The challenging phase for the BJP will be in 2018,a year
ahead of the General elections,as state elections will be due in places like Gujarat,Nagaland,Karantaka,Meghalaya,Himachal
Pardesh ,Tripura and Mizorum where discontentment against the Ruling BJP has
started brewing.Hardik Patel emergence and his jailing with sedition charges can not be
overlooked as the 22 years old leader had managed to pull massive crowds in
Gujarat during the rally there for reservation to the powerful Patel community.
After Bihar verdict,celebrations took place in the Modi’s home states,such developments
do not augur well for the BJP which was ruling the state for last three terms.
In the year of General election 2019,Elections are due in Arunachal
Pradesh,Delhi,,Chhattisgarh,Rajasthan,AP, Teleangana, Haryana,Maharashtra,
Odisha Jharkhand and Sikkim.Only Jammu and Kashmir will go to polls in 2021.
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